Our Pre-Game Analysis Our Clients Received ...
Today in
the Pac 12 Arizona St (2-6) travels to play Utah (6-2).
Utah has
won the past 3 meetings by an average of 17 points.
A month
ago this isn't a game we'd be interested in, since the line
would've
been at least 17 and Utah wouldn't have given it their full
attention.
Scheduling
dynamics and recent results have changed
how Utah will approach this
contest.
Over the
past month and a half Arizona St has gone 1-4 SU but 4-0-1 ATS.
They lost
by only 3 to California as a 13 point road underdog.
They lost
at home to Colorado by 3 as a 3 point dog in a game they should've
won.
After
having a week off, they went on the road to play undefeated
Washington.
As a 26
point underdog, they lost by only 8 (15-7). They returned last week to
play
Washington
St, and as a 4 point underdog
they won outright in their Homecoming
Game.
They now
must go back out on the road again to play
a Utah team that was just blown
out
last week
at home by Oregon (35-6). Back in September,
Utah lost to Oregon St
21-7,
and
returned home the following week (-9) and beat California 34-14.
The fact
that (2-6) Arizona St has been playing very competitive ball, Utah
will
be totally
focused for this contest. Arizona St is coming off their best game of
the
season,
while Utah is coming off their worst game.
It was the
first time since 2018 Utah didn’t find the end zone,
and it was
the end of an 18-game home winning streak.
Utah will
have a lot of basic fundamentals to work on this week,
while the
Sun Devils will be emotionally drained from their efforts
over the
past month and coming off a big Homecoming win!
Over the
past 9 regular season contests where Utah was coming off a loss
they have
gone ... 8-1 SU & ATS.
Utah still
has an outside shot at winning their conference this year.
Over the
next 4 games, Utah still has to play Washington, and the other
3 games are
very much winable. Washington is now entering a very tough part
of their
schedule ... SoCal, Utah, Oregon St, & Washington St.
Oregon also
has a couple very tough opponents ahead of them.
UTAH is ...
41-18 ATS vs. poor rushing teams
averaging <=120 rushing
yards/game.
... 13-4
ATS in home games vs. poor rushing teams
averaging <=120 rushing
yards/game.
... 21-9
ATS in home games after allowing
6.25 or more yards/play in their previous
game.
... 26-14
ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points.
... 17-8
ATS off a home loss.
... 13-4
ATS in home games vs. good rushing defenses
allowing <=120 rushing
yards/game.
Arizona St
was fortunate to be playing games where
some of their opponents were in bad
spots.
California
was coming off a tough game against Washington.
Washington
was coming off a tough close win over Oregon.
Washington
St was coming off a tough loss from Oregon.
In each of
those Arizona State's opponents had no reason
to be totally focused to play
them.
Utah is a
team that has the ability to bounce back from a poor performance.
After
rushing for only 69 yards vs. Oregon St, the following week they ran
for
317 yards
and beat California by 20.
Last week they only rushed for 99 yards vs.
Oregon.
Other than
those 2 bad rushing performances that resulted in losses,
they rushed
for and average
of 205 yards per game in their 6 victories.
Last week
Utah was coming off an outright win as a 7 point underdog to SoCal.
That was
one of their best performances of the season. They are now coming
off
their worst
performance of the season. Arizona St is now in the roll of coming
off
their best
game of the season, and it was their Homecoming Game.
This is an
extremely difficult spot for the Sun Devils.
Utah held
Florida to 13 rushing yards and Ucla to only 9 yards on the ground.
Arizona St
is a poor rushing team, and they will be one dimensional in this
contest.
Utah has
the #7 rushing defense in the country, while Arizona State's
rushing
offense is the 109th ranked in the
country.
The Sun
Devils passing attack won't be much help,
as they are 111th ranked in the country.
Utah's
scoring defense is ranked 18th in the country at 17
points/game ...
and they've
given up an average of only 11 points/game
vs. teams with a losing
record.
This will
be the highest ranked (#18) overall defense Arizona St has faced all
season.
The next
highest ranked was Fresno St (#33), and they lost at home (29-0).
We Look For A Very
Angry, Hungry, and Focused Utah Team
To Bounce Back In A Big
Way!
PREDICTION:
UTAH 31-10 ARIZONA ST
